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Machine Learning has advanced - ThE eNd iS NeAr
GPT-3 is a Machine Learning model that generates text. You give it a bit of text related to what you’re trying to generate, and it does the rest.
Machine Learning models let you make predictions based on past data, and generation (creating text) is a special case of predicting things
The GPT-3 model is trained via few shot learning, an experimental method that seems to be showing promising results in language models
OpenAI has been working on language models for a while now, and every iteration makes the news. But GPT-3 seems to represent a turning point - it’s like, scary good.
Text generation and ML models
GPT-3 is a language generation model. Now, I majored in Data Science and I still get confused about this, so it’s worth a basic refresher. Machine Learning is just about figuring out relationships – what’s the impact of something on another thing? This is pretty straightforward when you’re tackling structured problems – like predicting housing pricing based on the number of bedrooms – but gets kind of confusing when you move into the realm of language and text. What are ML models doing when they generate text? How does that work?
The easiest way to understand text generation is to think about a really good friend of yours (assuming you have one). At some point if you hang out enough, you get a good feel for their mannerisms, phrasing, and preferred topics of conversation - to the point where you might be able to reliably predict what they’re going to say next (“finishing each other’s sentences”). That’s exactly how GPT-3 and other models like it work - they learn a lot (I mean, like really a lot) about text, and then based on what they’ve seen so far, predict what’s coming next.
The actual internals of language models are obviously Very Scary and Very Complicated - there’s a reason that most big advancements come from big research teams full of PhDs.
🔍 Deeper Look 🔍
For the statistically inclined, most language models work via building a basic probability distribution of their training data (how often which words appear) and use that to predict what’s coming next. Advanced models go a few steps further by remembering longer term dependencies, using metadata like sentence length, and, most importantly, getting trained on a shit ton of data.
🔍 Deeper Look 🔍
The real innovation of GPT-3 - and the paper published in May that kicked it off – is a training method called few shot learning.
Big training and few shot learning
Generally, cutting edge in ML right now is closely associated with access to a lot of training data, and powerful compute to run those training jobs on. GPT-3 is no exception – the OpenAI team trained it with 175 billion parameters, which, according to them, is “10x more than any previous non-sparse language model.” They used a 45TB dataset of plaintext words (45,000 GB), filtered it down to a measly 570GB, and used 50 petaflops/day of compute (1020 operations per second, times 50). In short - this was a massive, extremely expensive effort.
The twist, though, is that big training sets for language models isn’t a new idea - even though GPT-3 was trained on a record amount of data, that’s only a piece of the puzzle. OpenAI touts the real killer feature here as few shot learning – the ability of the model to use the general knowledge it has already learned and apply it to specific tasks. The basic idea is that you give the already trained model a few small examples of what you want to produce, and it combines that knowledge with the “genius” it already has to produce something really specific to your needs.
To make this a bit more concrete, let’s take a look at one of the GTP-3 examples that went semi-viral: the model was able to write an entirely coherent article about Bitcoin forums. The author gave GPT-3 some basic text that explained his background and his website as the “few shots” and it was able to produce something strikingly normal sounding. Here’s a snippet:
Few shot learning (and its cousin, one shot learning) isn’t a new concept - but the devil is in the details, and GPT-3 may be the most effective demonstration on threading the needle. The nuance is in how you connect the “general knowledge” – acquired via the giant training process – with the “specific knowledge” – acquired via those “few shots” of domain specific examples.
What this means
If you scour the internet, there are basically two reactions to GPT-3:
This is so cool! Look what I can do with it!
ThE eNd iS nEaR
GPT-3 is not going to hurt you, but it is important – having big advancements in NLP open to the public is a positive thing, and building transparency in ML research is one of the main reasons that OpenAI exists in the first place. If you get a chance to play with it yourself, you’ll realize that the media accentuates the good things that models like GPT-3 produce, but in general they generate a lot of harmless nonsense.
But what makes GPT-3 really interesting is that OpenAI is releasing it to a limited number of people via a beta API. You’ll be able to pass a little bit of text through to the API (the “few shots”) and get back generated text programmatically.
🧠 Jog your memory 🧠
APIs let you access data or functionality programmatically via the web.
🧠 Jog your memory 🧠
This is a really interesting way to expose the model - because training is so intensive, it’s not something that you’d be able to train on your laptop, or even in the cloud (unless you’re fabulously wealthy). APIs let people use the model without building it - and I for one am excited to see what users come up with.